Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Belgrano 2		Defensa y Justicia 2

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.55
	2.05	3.05	3.49
	1.98	3.22	3.69	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	2.03	3.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.34)	3.62 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
45.4%

Draw
29.5%

Defensa y Justicia 2
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano 2's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 2, ⚽,
45', 2 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Belgrano 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Defensa y Justicia 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Defensa y Justicia 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Belgrano 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belgrano 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Belgrano 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Ferro 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	Belgrano 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Rosario Central 2 - Belgrano 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLT?
- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.03.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Aldosivi 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.08.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Belgrano 2	2:4
01.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0
03.10.23	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:0
08.06.23	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:0

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