Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, LPF Play
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	ESPN 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Belgrano 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.22	3	2.95
	2.35	3.17	3.03
	2.31	3.12	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3
	2.34	3.23	3
	2.22	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 (2.28)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
39.8%

Draw
29.5%

Newells Old Boys 2
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano 2 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Newells Old Boys 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgrano 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Belgrano 2 - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 38.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Belgrano 2	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Belgrano 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Belgrano 2 - Ferro 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLT
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.08.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	1:1 ✺
16.07.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
25.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0
10.09.25	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:1
10.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1
15.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1
09.06.24	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1
29.08.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	1:0
21.04.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0

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