Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Colón Santa Fe 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.84	3.47	1.71
	4.84	3.47	1.72
	4.75	3.46	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.23)	3.43 (3.43)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Santa Fe 2
19.6%

Draw
26.7%

Vélez Sársfield 2
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.3%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

25.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Play Offs: )).

Colón 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vélez 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vélez 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Colón 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.11.23	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	4:0 ✺
25.10.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Banfield 2	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	1:1 ✺
04.10.23	River Plate 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.11.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:3 ✺
18.10.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Banfield 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
05.10.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
20.04.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:0
11.07.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	4:0
06.05.22	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0

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