Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Riestra 2		Independiente Rivadavia 2

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.00
	1.27	5.15	7.2
	1.26	5.14	8.66
	1.31	5.1	7.9	Watch
	1.24	5.1	8.65
	1.33	5.25	7.87
	1.3	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (2.1)	5.1 ↑ (3.1)	7.78 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra 2
70.5%

Draw
17.8%

Independiente Rivadavia 2
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra 2's performance.

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Riestra 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th and 15th).

Deportivo Riestra 2 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Independiente R 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Deportivo Riestra 2 is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Deportivo Riestra 2 in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra 2 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Riestra 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Rivadavia 2 - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.44%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Barracas Central 2	3:0 ✺
17.09.26	Belgrano 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Lanús 2	4:1 ✺
02.09.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW
- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
30.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Belgrano 2	3:3 ✺
24.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lanús 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	3:3 ✺
10.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:3
16.10.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0
15.05.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:2

Upcoming Matches