Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	3.5	4	1.8
	4.1	3.45	1.74
	3.93	4.09	1.7
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	4.2	3.34	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.01)	3.54 ↑ (3.23)	1.88 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
24.6%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético Tucumán 2
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata 2's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tucumán 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tucumán 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tucumán 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	12%	72%

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Estudiantes LP 2 will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Atlético Tucumán 2 will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán 2: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 19 and 22).

Recent matches Estudiantes La Plata 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Tucumán 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estudiantes La Plata 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estudiantes La Plata 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.22	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Racing Club 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Platense 2	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Patronato 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.09.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:1 ✺
07.09.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Banfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

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