Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, LPF Play
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
	3.40	2.85	2.10
	3.45	2.75	2.12	Watch
	3.58	3.04	2.2
	3.53	2.92	2.17	Watch
	3.5	2.85	2.17
	3.55	3.01	2.2
	3.4	2.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.75)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
26.1%

Draw
31.5%

Boca Juniors 2
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata 2's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 1.

Estudiantes LP 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Boca Juniors 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boca Juniors 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes LP 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors 2 - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.08.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Platense 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Quilmes 2	1:1 ✺
14.07.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWTW
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
12.08.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:1
15.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:1
15.05.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1
18.07.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0
07.02.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0
19.10.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:1
14.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0

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