The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fajr Sepasi 44.9%
Draw 30.9%
Aluminium Arak 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
32.5%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
31.5%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajr Sepasi's performance.
Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajr Sepasi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aluminium Arak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fajr Sepasi - Aluminium Arak Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 7. Pahlevan E. 77. Fadakar S. 5. Nasiri M. 2. Vosoughifard A. 11. Moradi M. 6. Rigi M. 17. Shahabi H. 14. Tavakoli S. 9. Sharifi M. 10. Rostami Y.
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 8. Ghanbari A. 44. Jafarikia S. 15. Mousavi M. 2. Goudarzi B. 20. Rezaei A. 6. Motlaghzadeh M. 13. Mahdavi M. 11. Vatandoust A. 5. Nouri A. 21. Sadeghi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rigi M. ↓, Arab F. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Arab F. ⚽,
55', Motlaghzadeh M. ↓, Amanipour A. ↑,
55', Goudarzi B. ↓, Sadeghi A. ↑,
56', Vatandoust A. ↓, Jubere R. ↑,
74', Sharifi M. ↓, Moredi A. ↑,
74', Sadeghi S. ↓, Latifi A. ↑,
75', Tavakoli S. ↓, Faramarzi M. ↑,
76', Ghanbari A. ↓, Zolfipour R. ↑,
76', Mahdavi M. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Arab F. ⚽,
78', Arab F. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Zolfipour R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Aluminium Arak will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Aluminium Arak
8
3
4
1
10:6
4
13
8
Fajr Sepasi
8
2
4
2
6:10
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Aluminium Arak - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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