Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, LPF Play
South-america	ESPN 2 South
World	Disney+


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Deportivo Riestra 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2	3.15	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.12	3.82	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.06	3.86
	2	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	3.16 ↑ (3.11)	3.66 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Deportivo Riestra 2
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo Riestra 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Napolitano L. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Gimnasia La Plata 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
27.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Lanús 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Independiente 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTT
- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:1 ✺
26.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
06.03.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0
27.03.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:2

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