Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		San Martín de San Juan 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3	4.1
	1.79	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.31	4.68	Watch
	1.83	3.55	4.16
	1.79	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)	4.39 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
50.7%

Draw
28.5%

San Martín de San Juan 2
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

San Martín de San Juan 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata 2 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Barrera S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Barrera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia La Plata 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.03.25	Lanús 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Independiente 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:3 ✺
26.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTTT
- San Martín de San Juan 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLW

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