Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, LPF Play
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Gimnasia Mendoza 2		Rosario Central 2

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.10	2.37
	2.62	3.05	2.42	Watch
	2.68	3.35	2.6
	2.66	3.12	2.56	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.68	3.26	2.57
	2.6	3.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.05)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.5 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
34.5%

Draw
29%

Rosario Central 2
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia Mendoza 2's performance.

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia Mendoza 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rosario Central 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rosario Central 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.08.26	Tigre 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1:3 ✺
20.08.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - River Plate 2	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Racing Club 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW
- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.08.26	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:2 ✺
12.08.26	Rosario Central 2 - Banfield 2	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Rosario Central 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
22.07.26	Tigre 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
02.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1:0

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