Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente 2		Quilmes 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.45	Watch
	1.71	3.35	5.31
	1.71	3.2	5.26	Watch
	1.7	3	4.8
	1.72	3.75	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.21)	4.87 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
53.3%

Draw
27.9%

Quilmes 2
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

31.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Quilmes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Independiente 2 - Quilmes 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Parmo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Vazquez G. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Independiente 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quilmes 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Quilmes 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Independiente 2 is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Independiente 2 - Central Córdoba 2	5:0 ✺
18.02.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Independiente 2	1:4 ✺
12.02.26	Independiente 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Independiente 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Quilmes 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.03.26	Quilmes 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Platense 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Quilmes 2	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Quilmes 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Quilmes 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWTW

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