Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Independiente Rivadavia 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.65
	4.75	3.5	1.66	Watch
	5.02	3.52	1.68
	5.06	3.46	1.64
	4.75	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.61)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	1.66 (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia 2
19%

Draw
26.2%

River Plate 2
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25.3%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

24.4%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for River Plate 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Andino T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Zeballos S. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: )).

Independiente Rivadavia 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate 2 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match River Plate 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.03.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0 ✺
14.03.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Racing Club 2	0:1 ✺
29.02.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	3:0 ✺
21.02.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:0 ✺
07.02.24	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.03.24	Barracas Central 2 - River Plate 2	0:4 ✺
15.03.24	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Racing Club 2 - River Plate 2	1:3 ✺
22.02.24	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1 ✺
08.02.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWWT

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