Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Instituto 2		San Martín de San Juan 2

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.72	3.1	5	Watch
	1.76	3.43	5.68
	1.68	3.33	5.18	Watch
	1.77	3.74	4.25
	1.72	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	4.89 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto 2
53.3%

Draw
27.8%

San Martín de San Juan 2
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.7%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

San Martín de San Juan 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Instituto 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Instituto 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Martín 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Instituto 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Instituto 2 have a series of guest games.

In this match Instituto 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.04.25	Lanús 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Instituto 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Independiente 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
13.03.25	Platense 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLT
- San Martín de San Juan 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.04.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - River Plate 2	1:3 ✺
27.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLWL

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