Match Info

AFC Asian Cup U23 - Round 3

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Pakistan	Tapmad
South-korea	Coupang Play
Vietnam	FPT Play, HTV Thể Thao, K+, TV 360
International	Onefootball


	Iran U23		Lebanon U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.19	5.9	11.5
	1.25	5.72	10.92	Watch
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.24	6.31	9.71	Watch
	1.2	5.33	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.26)	5.75 ↑ (4.54)	10.83 ↑ (10.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iran U23
75.5%

Draw
16%

Lebanon U23
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.5%

19.9%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iran U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lebanon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Iran U23 - Lebanon U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Iran U23 will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lebanon U23 will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Iran U23 (votes: 2 - 50%). Lebanon U23 (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Iran U23 (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Iran U23 (votes: 3 - 60%). Lebanon U23 (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifeh M. (G) Aluminium Arak 13. Mahdavi M. Aluminium Arak 16. Moamelehgari F. Shams Azar Qazvin 4. Eiri D. (C) Malavan 3. Vosoughifard A. Fajr Sepasi 14. Jafari F. Malavan 8. Latififar P. Gol Gohar 6. Razzaghinia A. Esteghlal TEH 9. Rostami Y. Fajr Sepasi 7. Ghandipour R. Al Wahda 21. Zarouni H. Kheybar Khorramabad	1. Azaki S. (G) Al Ahed 2. Ismail A. Nejmeh SC 3. Smaira J. Achyronas-Onisilos 4. Farhat H. Al Ahed 5. Safwan M. Nejmeh SC 8. El Fadl A. Nejmeh SC 14. Fouani H. 7. Zbib M. (C) Al Ahed 19. Shahin L. Falkenberg 20. Aoude N. 11. Kassas A. Nejmeh SC
Substitutes
11. Askari M. Sepahan 2. Goudarzi B. Aluminium Arak 19. Goudarzi M. Kheybar Khorramabad 20. Habibi A. Malavan 10. Hosseinnejad M. Dynamo Makhachkala 17. Jamshidi E. Paykan 22. Maghsoudi A. (G) Sepahan 15. Mohebi M. Kheybar Khorramabad 12. Rafiei P. (G) 23. Saeed Sadeghi Persepolis 18. Sheikhirad A. Mazandaran 5. Zare M. Akhmat Grozny	9. Bazzi H. 21. Bou Saleh M. Al Ansar 15. Chami I. FC Laval 22. El Amin Z. (G) 12. El Hajj J. Hanauer SC 6. Ghamlouch M. Racing 18. Istambouli D. Sacred Hearts Pioneers 17. Jouni S. Al Ahed 16. Kaddour K. Western United 23. Maassry A. (G) 13. Reda H. Al Ahed 10. Sadek M. Nejmeh SC

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Fouani H. 🟨,
31', Zbib M. ↓, Istambouli D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Latififar P. ↓, Sheikhirad A. ↑,
54', Sheikhirad A. ↓, Saeed Sadeghi ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Shahin L. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Aoude N. ↓, Sadek M. ↑,
68', Istambouli D. 🟨,
72', Zarouni H. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
72', Jafari F. ↓, Goudarzi M. ↑,
75', Rostami Y. ↓, Jamshidi E. ↑,
78', Shahin L. ↓, Kaddour K. ↑,
78', Fouani H. ↓, Ghamlouch M. ↑,
81', Kassas A. ↓, Bazzi H. ↑,
90+6', El Fadl A. 🟨,

Preview

Iran U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Iran U23 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iran U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iran U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
10.01.26	Iran U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	South Korea U23 - Iran U23	0:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Iran U23 - Bahrain U23	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Kyrgyzstan U23 - Iran U23	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Russia U23 - Iran U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWLL
- Lebanon U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
10.01.26	Lebanon U23 - South Korea U23	2:4 ✺
07.01.26	Uzbekistan U23 - Lebanon U23	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Lebanon U23 - Thailand U23	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Malaysia U23 - Lebanon U23	0:1 ✺
Friendly
13.08.25	Lebanon U23 - Syria U23	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Asian Cup U23
28.10.21	Lebanon U23 - Iran U23	0:2

Iran U23 - Lebanon U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide