The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasetsart 37.3%
Draw 28.6%
Mahasarakham 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
28.8%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
27.8%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasetsart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasetsart than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Kasetsart - Mahasarakham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Inia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Samphaodi C. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Phumichantuk R. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Inia A. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 17th in the Relegation).
Kasetsart has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mahasarakham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mahasarakham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Kasetsart has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kasetsart against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Kasetsart
6
1
1
4
3:9
-6
4
18
Mahasarakham
6
0
3
3
6:12
-6
3
Last Results with these Odds
Kasetsart - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.