Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lanús 2		Independiente Rivadavia 2

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.60	4.20
	1.68	3.40	4.20
	1.74	3.67	4.63
	1.64	3.85	4.57	Watch
	1.70	3.45	4.55
	1.61	4.05	4.94
	1.73	3.65	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
54.5%

Draw
24.9%

Independiente Rivadavia 2
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lanús 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Lanús 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Independiente R 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lanús 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lanús 2 is the team to beat.

We predict that Lanús 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lanús 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.09.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Lanús 2	4:1 ✺
01.09.26	Lanús 2 - Belgrano 2	3:1 ✺
26.08.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Lanús 2	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Lanús 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW
- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	4:0 ✺
27.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Lanús 2	1:1

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