Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lanús 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.15	3.25
	2	3.22	3.64
	2.01	3.25	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.98	3.15	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	3.5 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús 2
45.4%

Draw
28.7%

Newells Old Boys 2
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús 2's performance.

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Lanús 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newells Old Boys 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.03.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Lanús 2	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Lanús 2 - Ferro 2	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Lanús 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTW?
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTL?

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
27.08.24	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2
28.03.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Lanús 2	1:3
23.08.23	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1
17.05.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Lanús 2	0:0
15.08.22	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0

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