Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)


	Montana		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.20
	1.98	3.40	3.41
	1.64	3.85	4.57	Watch
	1.86	3.30	3.45
	1.99	3.38	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.6)	3.43 ↓ (3.55)	3.63 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
48.3%

Draw
26.6%

Ludogorets II
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludogorets II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montana - Ludogorets II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Montana (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Montana (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Simeonov V. (G) 11. Aliev O. 8. Atanasov P. 5. Avramov D. 14. Dadakov M. 16. Dichev M. 3. Ivanov H. 10. Kamenov S. 7. Milushev M. 6. Valkov K. 25. Vasilev V.	67. Panayotov A. (G) 76. Dimitrov K. 56. Georgiev Y. 59. Lukanov A. 40. Marinov A. 34. Nikolov N. 81. Penev G. 90. Stanchev M. 75. Syrov E. 80. Todorov I. 98. Yanev N.
Substitutes
18. Balakov M. 24. Grigorov B. 27. Kingsley M. 4. Kuzmanovic D. 13. Silveira G. 26. Slavchev R. 23. Strandzhev H. 9. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 12. Veskov Y. (G)	16. Marinov D. 97. Nikolov K. 63. Niyazi D. 58. Stefanov E. 62. Stoyanov G. 32. Stoykov P. 65. Valentinov V. (G) 51. Zhelev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
20', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 14th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 2.

Montana is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Ludogorets II have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Montana for this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Montana has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:11 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montana against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12:12	0	15
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15:26	-11	11

Last Results with these Odds

Montana - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 55.6%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Montana	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Montana - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:5 ✺
13.09.26	CSKA Sofia II - Montana	4:0 ✺
08.09.26	Montana - Vihren Sandanski	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.09.26	Spartak Pleven - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Ludogorets II - Fratria	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Ludogorets II	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ludogorets II - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.04.25	Montana - Ludogorets II	0:0
07.10.24	Ludogorets II - Montana	1:2
24.02.24	Ludogorets II - Montana	2:1
14.08.23	Montana - Ludogorets II	3:2
21.05.23	Ludogorets II - Montana	3:2
24.10.22	Montana - Ludogorets II	2:0
05.03.22	Montana - Ludogorets II	1:0

Montana - Ludogorets II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide