Match Info

Asian Games Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa (Shizuoka)


	North Korea W		China W

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.10	6.25
	1.41	4.10	6.25
	1.41	4.62	6.87
	1.43	4.17	6.5
	1.38	4.55	6.75
	1.46	4.06	7.13
	1.38	4.20	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.26 ↑ (3.6)	6.59 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Korea W
64.7%

Draw
21.5%

China W
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

25%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Korea W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

China W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

North Korea W - China W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Korea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - North Korea (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - North Korea (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. North Korea (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Yu Son-Gum (G) 2. Ri Myong-Gum Naegohyang 23. Ri Hye-Gyong 14. Hwang Yu-Yong 3. Ri Kum-Hyang (C) Naegohyang 20. Chae Un-Yong Wolmido 6. An Pok-Yong Naegohyang 7. Myong Yu-Jong 13. Jon Ryong-Jong 17. Kim Kyong-Yong Naegohyang 11. Han Jin-Hong	12. Xiao Z. (G) 20. Zhang Chengxue Sichuan 8. Yao W. Wuhan Jiangda 5. Wu Haiyan (C) Wuhan Jiangda 3. Chen Qiaozhu Beijing Beikong 7. Wang Shuang Wuhan Jiangda 15. Wang Aifang Liaoning 18. Zhang Rui Shandong Sports Lottery 21. Sun Fangxin Shandong Sports Lottery 23. Shao Ziqin Jiangsu Suning 9. Wurigumula Montpellier
Substitutes
5. An Hyang-Kuk 15. Choe Il-Son 19. Choe Kum-Ok Naegohyang 12. Hong Song-Ok 22. Kim Hye-Yong Naegohyang 9. Kim Song-Gyong 10. Kum Jong Naegohyang 4. Oh Sol-Song 1. Pak Ju-Mi (G) Naegohyang 8. Ri Song-A 16. Song Chun-Sim 21. Un-gyong C. (G)	16. Liu Jing Changchun Dazhong 22. Mengdi Z. Shaanxi Changan 1. Pan Hongyan (G) 14. Qingtong Li Beijing Beikong 4. Si Y. Beijing Beikong 10. Wang Yanwen Dijon 17. Xie Zongmei 13. Ying Wang Western Sydney Wanderers 6. Yuan C. Guangdong Meizhou 2. Yu F. Beijing Beikong 19. Zhang Linyan Beijing Beikong 11. Zhou X. Liaoning

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Zhang Rui 🟨,
34', Sun Fangxin 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Xiao Z. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Yao W. (Own goal),
56', Sun Fangxin ↓, Xie Zongmei ↑,
63', Kim Kyong-Yong ↓, Kum Jong ↑,
71', Wurigumula ↓, Yuan C. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Myong Yu-Jong ⚽,
87', Zhang Chengxue ↓, Ying Wang ↑,
90+2', Chae Un-Yong ↓, Hong Song-Ok ↑,
90+2', Jon Ryong-Jong ↓, Choe Il-Son ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Korea won 3.

The betting markets point to North Korea as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for North Korea in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, North Korea has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Korea W
Asian Games Football Women
25.09.26	North Korea W - Chinese Taipei W	5:1 ✺
21.09.26	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Myanmar W - North Korea W	0:8 ✺
14.09.26	North Korea W - Bangladesh W	10:0 ✺
Asian Cup Women
19.03.26	Chinese Taipei W - North Korea W	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWW
- China W
Asian Games Football Women
25.09.26	China W - Vietnam W	1:0 AET ✺
21.09.26	China W - Philippines W	5:1 ✺
17.09.26	Uzbekistan W - China W	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	China W - Hong Kong W	5:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
07.06.26	China W - Russia W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup Women
09.03.26	North Korea W - China W	1:2
Olympic Games - Football Women
26.10.23	China W - North Korea W	1:2
Asian Games Football Women
22.08.18	North Korea W - China W	0:2
EAFF E-1 Women
08.12.17	China W - North Korea W	0:2
Friendly International Women
08.06.17	China W - North Korea W	0:1
Olympic Games - Football Women
02.03.16	North Korea W - China W	1:1
EAFF E-1 Women
04.08.15	China W - North Korea W	2:3

North Korea W - China W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide