Match Info

Pro Liga - Round 20

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Pakhtakor II		Shurtan Guzar

	1	X	2
	6.30	4.30	1.36
	5.90	4.55	1.37
	6.15	4.41	1.42	Watch
	5.91	4.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (5.81)	4.47 ↑ (4.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor II
14.9%

Draw
20.3%

Shurtan Guzar
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

21.1%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

20.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pakhtakor II - Shurtan Guzar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mukarov N. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Abdurahmonov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 0 - 3, Barabadze L. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, Abduraximov B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Super League (Relegation: )).

In recent outings, Pakhtakor II has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shurtan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Shurtan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Shurtan as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Pakhtakor II has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shortan Guzor	22	14	4	4	39:21	18	46
13	Pakhtakor II	22	3	1	18	16:51	-35	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor II
Uzbek Pro Liga
12.09.26	Jayxun - Pakhtakor II	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Metallurg Bekabad - Pakhtakor II	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Pakhtakor II - TerDU	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Yaypan Fergana - Pakhtakor II	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pakhtakor II - Lochin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWLW
- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek Pro Liga
12.09.26	Shurtan Guzar - TerDU	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	FarDU - Shurtan Guzar	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Shurtan Guzar - Kattaqurgon	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	BuxDU - Shurtan Guzar	2:4 ✺
30.07.26	Shurtan Guzar - Respublika FA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
05.05.26	Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor II	2:0

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