Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday


	Patronato 2		Lanús 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2	3.6	3
	2.39	3.3	2.55
	2.3	3.55	2.66
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.36	3.28	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.84)	3.36 ↓ (3.54)	2.68 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato 2
39.1%

Draw
27%

Lanús 2
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato 2's form might have worsened.

Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato 2 than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Patronato 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Patronato 2 will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Lanús 2 will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato 2: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 26 and 6).

Patronato 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lanús 2 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Patronato 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Patronato 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.10.22	River Plate 2 - Patronato 2	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Patronato 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Patronato 2	0:0 ✺
22.09.22	Patronato 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Rosario Central 2 - Patronato 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL
- Lanús 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.10.22	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	1:3 ✺
30.09.22	Lanús 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:2 ✺
25.09.22	San Lorenzo 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Lanús 2 - Banfield 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWL

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