The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 2 31.3%
Draw 28.1%
Independiente 2 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
30%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes 2 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Quilmes 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Parmo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Perez ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In recent matches, Quilmes 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Independiente 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quilmes 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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