The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Club 2 51.8%
Draw 26.3%
Sarmiento de Junín 2 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.7%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
26.2%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Racing Club 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Club 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Racing Club 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Cura L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Leiva G. ⚽,
83', Taborda T. 🟥,
90+4', Gomez F. 🟥,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
Recent performances by Racing 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sarmiento 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sarmiento 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Racing 2 is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Racing 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Racing 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sarmiento de Junín 2 - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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