Match Info
EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6Date: 3 November 2022, ThursdayLocation: Roazhon Park (Rennes)Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
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Rennes |
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AEK Larnaca |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.12 |
9 |
15 |
|
 |
1.14 |
8.75 |
19 |
|
 |
1.13 |
8.9 |
23 |
|
 |
1.13 |
9 |
19 |
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 |
1.14 |
9.11 |
20.55 |
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 |
1.12 |
8.5 |
19 |
|
 |
1.14 |
9.2 |
20.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
8.8 |
19 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.39) |
8.91 ↑
(4.53) |
19.38 ↑
(9.06) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rennes
84.3% | Draw
10.7% | AEK Larnaca
4.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 64.9% – 89.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Rennes was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (80%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%), has currently - 11, has a good chance of 1st (60%), has a chance of 2nd (40%), has not chance of 3rd.AEK Larnaca has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 4, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, was already of 3rd.This event has quality 54, small importance 16, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) Rennes in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches AEK Larnaca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of home games. In this match Rennes is absolute favorite.There will not play in Rennes: Omari W.
(Hernia)
Santamaria B.
(Ankle Injury)There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Altman O.
(Injury)
Asante E.
(Injury)
Casado I.
(Injury)
Faraj I.
(Injury)
Gama B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Paraskevas A.
(Knee Injury)
Romo J.
(Injury)
Sanjurjo O.
(Injury)
Trickovski I.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Rennes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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