Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.05	6.1
	1.46	4.28	6.59
	1.42	4.46	6.39	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.41	4.05	6.88	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.07 ↑ (3.75)	6.2 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
63%

Draw
22.3%

Atlético Tucumán 2
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 3.

In recent matches, River Plate 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Tucumán 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, River Plate 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 3.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.03.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Barracas Central 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	River Plate 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barracas Central 2 - River Plate 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLW?
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.03.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Aldosivi 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTW?

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
11.09.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
09.04.25	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0
19.09.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	1:1
10.04.24	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1
09.09.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	2:2
27.04.23	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1
09.06.22	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	1:0

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