Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Gimnasia La Plata 2

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.75
	1.63	3.9	5.01
	1.58	4.1	4.78	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.65	4.02	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	4.76 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
57%

Draw
23.8%

Gimnasia La Plata 2
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.7%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

River Plate 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, River Plate 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - River Plate 2	2:2 ✺
19.03.26	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Barracas Central 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWL
- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Aldosivi 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.10.25	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:1
14.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
17.07.24	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	5:0
08.02.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	1:1
17.10.23	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:1
11.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	1:3
20.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	1:3

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