What is the expert prediction for Sagamihara vs Júbilo Iwata?

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Sagamihara vs Júbilo Iwata Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, September 02, 2026)

Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sagamihara		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.50	1.83
	3.75	3.20	1.83
	3.70	2.65	2.10	Watch
	4.35	3.49	1.92
	2.93	3.19	2.41
	4.30	3.35	1.87
	4.10	3.28	1.91	Watch
	3.60	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.68)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	1.97 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
24.4%

Draw
28.6%

Júbilo Iwata
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagamihara's form might have worsened.

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Júbilo Iwata's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miura M. (G) 16. Kato S. 5. Yamauchi R. 26. Sato S. 18. Miki K. 8. Kambe K. 6. Tokunaga Y. 20. Kawabata Y. 11. Muto Y. 22. Okuyama Y. 93. Phochai T.	21. Miura R. (G) 37. Kawasaki I. 20. Kato D. 30. Yamazaki K. 4. Matsubara K. 17. Nishioka K. 18. Inoue S. 7. Uehara R. 47. Sato D. 9. Watanabe R. 11. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 15. Maeda T. 10. Nakayama R. 19. Okita S. 9. Sasaki K. 24. Sugimoto R. 7. Tanahashi A. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K.	2. Danilo Cardoso 42. Ishizuka R. 66. Masuda S. 51. Nakajima K. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 19. Nozawa L. 56. Okuda Y. 27. Sato R. 8. Tameda H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
35', 0 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Inoue S. (A),
38', Kambe K. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Yamazaki K. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 3, Kawasaki I. ⚽, Matheus Peixoto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsubara K. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
46', Nishioka K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
63', Watanabe R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
70', Muto Y. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
70', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Nakayama R. ↑,
78', Sato D. ↓, Okuda Y. ↑,
80', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Ishizuka R. ↑,
81', Miki K. ↓, Watahiki K. ↑,
81', Sato S. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
85', Kawabata Y. ↓, Okita S. ↑,

Preview

Sagamihara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

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Last Results with these Odds

Sagamihara - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.17%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
29.08.26	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tochigi City - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Yokohama FC - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Júbilo Iwata - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2
Japan J2 League
28.08.21	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:1
18.04.21	Sagamihara - Júbilo Iwata	1:2

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