Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	San Lorenzo 2		Gimnasia Mendoza 2

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.23	3.13	3.29
	2.18	3.17	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.23	3.33	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	3.16 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
42%

Draw
29.1%

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo 2's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia Mendoza 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia Mendoza 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

San Lorenzo 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Lorenzo 2 is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.03.26	Barracas Central 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Banfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Lanús 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTW?
- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.03.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	5:1 ✺
10.02.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Racing Club 2	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTT?

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