Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	San Lorenzo 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.5
	1.76	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.33	4.85	Watch
	1.79	3.53	4.36
	1.76	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	4.54 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
52.1%

Draw
27.7%

Independiente 2
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

27.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

San Lorenzo 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Hernandez M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Taborda E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Independiente 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Lorenzo 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Platense 2	3:1 ✺
13.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	San Lorenzo 2 - River Plate 2	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWT
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.04.25	Independiente 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
27.03.25	Platense 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	River Plate 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Independiente 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
24.11.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Independiente 2	0:2
31.03.23	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1
05.06.22	Independiente 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1

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