Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Instituto 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.52	Watch
	2.73	2.89	2.73
	2.68	3.01	2.62	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.5
	2.63	2.85	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.96)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)	2.6 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
34.4%

Draw
30.9%

Instituto 2
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Instituto 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5).

Sarmiento 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Instituto 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Aldosivi 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.04.26	Instituto 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Instituto 2 - Banfield 2	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Aldosivi 2 - Instituto 2	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Instituto 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
21.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	0:0
22.05.25	Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0
27.01.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	0:0

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