Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 10

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Start		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.25
	2.95	3.7	2.22
	3.16	3.9	2.22
	3.07	3.78	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	3	3.77	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	3.71 ↑ (3.45)	2.21 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
31.6%

Draw
25.5%

Vålerenga
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	25%	68.7%

Start - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Start will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 29. Reitan E. 5. Jebali O. 6. Norheim J. (C) 3. Ujkani A. 16. Strannegard T. 10. Mvoue S. 23. Segberg E. 18. Ugland M. 20. Lorentzen H. 17. Cornelius J.	1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 55. Jarl S. 5. Tshiembe K. 2. Finnsson K. 11. Sorensen E. 10. Lange C. 28. Westergaard M. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 17. Grundetjern M. 8. Bjordal H. (C)
Substitutes
22. Ampofo J. 39. Birkenes D. C. (G) 13. Griesbeck S. 7. Gurendal A. F. 37. Lien F. 2. Palerud F. 14. Soomets M. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G)	29. Ambina F. 77. Haren L. 6. Hedenstad V. 15. Holm O. T. 9. Rajkovic G. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 24. Strand P.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Moesgaard J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Cornelius J. ⚽, Jebali O. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Mvoue S. ⚽, Jebali O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sorensen E. ↓, Haren L. ↑,
58', Westergaard M. ↓, Holm O. T. ↑,
66', Mvoue S. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,
66', Ujkani A. ↓, Palerud F. ↑,
69', Sjatil H. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
71', Palerud F. 🟨,
73', Jebali O. ↓, Griesbeck S. ↑,
75', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
75', Bjordal H. ↓, Ambina F. ↑,
83', Reitan E. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 1.

Start is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vålerenga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Start may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Start: Meyer J. (Groin Injury) Tonnesen K. (Leg Injury) Torkildsen J. (Injury) Toure O. (Red Card)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Ofkir M. (Knee Injury) Olsen A. (Yellow Cards) Saeter O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Start: Schulze E. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Start won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.6:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Valerenga	22	6	5	11	35:45	-10	23
16	Start	22	4	4	14	24:48	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.05.26	Start - Bodø Glimt	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Viking Stavanger - Start	6:3 ✺
03.05.26	Start - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Bodø Glimt - Start	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Hamarkameratene - Start	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.26	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Hamarkameratene - Vålerenga	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Vålerenga - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Molde - Vålerenga	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Vålerenga - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Vålerenga - Start	1:1
20.07.24	Start - Vålerenga	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.12.20	Vålerenga - Start	4:0
17.08.20	Start - Vålerenga	2:1
30.09.18	Vålerenga - Start	3:2
14.04.18	Start - Vålerenga	1:6
Club Friendly
03.03.18	Vålerenga - Start	2:1

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