The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 2 53.3%
Draw 26.7%
Banfield 2 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.3%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe 2's performance.
Banfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banfield 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banfield 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Santa Fe 2 - Banfield 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Santa Fe 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 🟥,
86', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 12th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 1.
In recent outings, Unión Santa Fe 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Banfield 2 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Unión Santa Fe 2 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Unión Santa Fe 2 has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unión Santa Fe 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Banfield 2 - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.07%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.