The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 2 62.7%
Draw 23.6%
Unión Santa Fe 2 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
28%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
27.5%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Vélez Sársfield 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, ⚽,
34', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
Vélez 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Unión Santa Fe 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Vélez 2 is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).