Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Agnese Gentili		Carla Giambelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.87
	2.00	1.71
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.93
	1.95	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.25)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agnese Gentili
49%

Carla Giambelli
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agnese Gentili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agnese Gentili's performance.

Carla Giambelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carla Giambelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agnese Gentili than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agnese Gentili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carla Giambelli than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carla Giambelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Agnese Gentili - Carla Giambelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gentili is ranked WTA: 1112., and Giambelli is ranked WTA: 1186..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gentili could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agnese Gentili
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Elza Tomase - Agnese Gentili	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Agnese Gentili - Federica Trevisan	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Noemi Maines - Agnese Gentili	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Agnese Gentili - Eva Marie Voracek	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Marta Lombardini - Agnese Gentili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 LWLWW
- Carla Giambelli
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Carla Giambelli	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Carla Giambelli - Eva Marie Voracek	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Charlotte Pikkaart - Carla Giambelli	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Carolina Gasparini - Carla Giambelli	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Carla Giambelli - Elza Tomase	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW

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