Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Alexandr Binda		Mert Naci Turker

	1	2
	1.44	2.60
	1.44	2.60
	1.47	2.74
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	2.65 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
64.8%

Mert Naci Turker
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandr Binda's performance.

Mert Naci Turker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Naci Turker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandr Binda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Naci Turker than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Naci Turker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexandr Binda - Mert Naci Turker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 571. Turker is ranked ATP: 767.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Binda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandr Binda - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.08%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Alexandr Binda - Rawat Sidharth	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Alexandr Binda - S Mert Ozdemir	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Adrian Andreev - Alexandr Binda	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Alexandr Binda - Matyas Fuele	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Mert Naci Turker
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Gabriel Debru - Mert Naci Turker	Canceled ✺
28.07.26	Mert Naci Turker - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Toufik Sahtali - Mert Naci Turker	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Kuzey Kerem Bayrak - Mert Naci Turker	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Mert Naci Turker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?LWWL

Alexandr Binda - Mert Naci Turker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide