Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rognac, hard

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Alexandre Reco		Julio Cesar Porras

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.73	1.98
	1.71	2.16
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.16)	2.02 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Reco
54%

Julio Cesar Porras
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Reco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Reco's performance.

Julio Cesar Porras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Julio Cesar Porras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Reco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julio Cesar Porras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexandre Reco - Julio Cesar Porras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reco is ranked ATP: 1082. Porras is ranked ATP: 1051.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Reco
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Alexandre Reco - Loan Lestir	Lestir L. Retired ✺
23.07.26	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Alexandre Reco	Reco A. Walkover ✺
21.07.26	Zach Stephens - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Luc Fomba - Alexandre Reco	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ??WLL
- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Julio Cesar Porras	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Ntungamili Raguin	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Julio Cesar Porras - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Matei Florin Breazu - Julio Cesar Porras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

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