Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Anastasia Gasanova		Hanyu Guo

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.8
	1.99	1.74	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.67)	1.73 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Gasanova
46%

Hanyu Guo
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Gasanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasia Gasanova's form might have worsened.

Hanyu Guo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hanyu Guo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Gasanova than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasia Gasanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanyu Guo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hanyu Guo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Anastasia Gasanova - Hanyu Guo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hanyu Guo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gasanova is ranked WTA: 185. Guo is ranked WTA: 173.

Gasanova is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gasanova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Gasanova
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Julia Grabher - Anastasia Gasanova	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Tereza Martincova - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Harriet Dart	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Alevtina Ibragimova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Hanyu Guo
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Hanyu Guo	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Hanyu Guo - Rada Zolotareva	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hanyu Guo - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Hanyu Guo - Dalila Jakupovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Hanyu Guo - Alexandra Shubladze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.08.18	Hanyu Guo - Anastasia Gasanova	2:1

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