Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Aoi Ito		Lizette Cabrera

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.54	2.53
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.86)	2.36 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aoi Ito
60.2%

Lizette Cabrera
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aoi Ito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aoi Ito's performance.

Lizette Cabrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lizette Cabrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aoi Ito than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aoi Ito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lizette Cabrera than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lizette Cabrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ito will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cabrera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ito is ranked WTA: 232. Cabrera is ranked WTA: 305.

Ito is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Cabrera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cabrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ito might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aoi Ito - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aoi Ito
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Aoi Ito - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Heather Watson - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Sayaka Ishii - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Aoi Ito - Kyoka Okamura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Lizette Cabrera
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Lizette Cabrera - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Yexin Ma - Lizette Cabrera	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sayaka Ishii - Lizette Cabrera	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Lizette Cabrera - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Lizette Cabrera - Alana Subasic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	1:2
12.09.24	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	0:2
16.05.23	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	1:2

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