Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Aurora Zantedeschi		Marta Lombardini

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.70
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.66	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.8)	2.68 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora Zantedeschi
65.3%

Marta Lombardini
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora Zantedeschi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora Zantedeschi's performance.

Marta Lombardini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marta Lombardini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora Zantedeschi than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora Zantedeschi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Lombardini than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marta Lombardini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aurora Zantedeschi - Marta Lombardini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zantedeschi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zantedeschi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zantedeschi is ranked WTA: 264., and Lombardini is ranked WTA: 679..

Zantedeschi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lombardini is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zantedeschi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zantedeschi holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Aurora Zantedeschi - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Zantedeschi
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Lucie Havlickova - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Lina Gjorcheska - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Sofya Lansere - Aurora Zantedeschi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Fiona Ferro - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Marta Lombardini
ITF Tournaments
20.09.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Marta Lombardini	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ilary Pistola - Marta Lombardini	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Viola Turini - Marta Lombardini	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Marta Lombardini - Valentina Steiner	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Marta Lombardini - Enola Chiesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

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