Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Buenos Aires, clay - Final

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Carolina Alves		Carlota Martinez Cirez

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.38	3.07
	1.36	2.88	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.57)	2.85 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
67.3%

Carlota Martinez Cirez
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Carlota Martinez Cirez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlota Martinez Cirez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlota Martinez Cirez than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlota Martinez Cirez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Alves (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 232. Martinez Cirez is ranked WTA: 391.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Alves will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alves won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Alves - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Dalila Spiteri - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Carolina Alves - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Carolina Alves - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Carolina Alves - Alisa Danilova	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Carolina Alves - Victoria Bosio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Carlota Martinez Cirez
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Victoria Bosio - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Sabastiani Leon - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Carolina Alves	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.05.23	Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:1
20.01.23	Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez	1:2
03.02.22	Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0

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