What is the expert prediction for Daniil Ostapenkov vs Saba Purtseladze?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Daniil Ostapenkov vs Saba Purtseladze. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Daniil Ostapenkov vs Saba Purtseladze Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 15, 2025)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 3 (Egypt), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.75	2.04	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	2.05 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
54.4%

Saba Purtseladze
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Ostapenkov's form might have worsened.

Saba Purtseladze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saba Purtseladze's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saba Purtseladze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 1021. Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 458.

Recent matches Ostapenkov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Purtseladze in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Purtseladze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ostapenkov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ostapenkov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Martin Krumich - Daniil Ostapenkov	Krumich M. retired ✺
12.02.25	Daniil Chizhuk - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Olle Wallin - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?WLW
- Saba Purtseladze
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Michal Krajci - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Thijs Boogaard - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Martin Krumich - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Saba Purtseladze - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.02.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Saba Purtseladze	1:2
10.11.21	Saba Purtseladze - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0

Daniil Ostapenkov - Saba Purtseladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide