What is the expert prediction for Diogo Morais vs Arthur Nagel?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Diogo Morais vs Arthur Nagel. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Diogo Morais vs Arthur Nagel Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, September 03, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Casablanca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Diogo Morais		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
			Watch
	6.50	1.08
	7.4	1.1
	6.07	1.08	Watch
	7.3	1.08
	6.25	1.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (6.07)	1.08 (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diogo Morais
13.9%

Arthur Nagel
86.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

84.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diogo Morais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Morais is ranked ATP: 1838. Nagel is ranked ATP: 359.

Morais has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nagel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Morais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nagel is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diogo Morais
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Yazid Lahjomri - Diogo Morais	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Diogo Morais - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Rocco Piatti - Diogo Morais	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Diogo Morais - Pablo Perez Ramos	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Diogo Morais - Francisco Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Tim Handel - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Arthur Nagel - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Jannik Maute - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Christian Djonov - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Diogo Morais - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide