Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Enrico Dalla Valle		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.49	2.61
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.49	2.5
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.39 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enrico Dalla Valle
61.1%

Federico Arnaboldi
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enrico Dalla Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Enrico Dalla Valle - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dalla Valle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalla Valle: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dalla Valle is ranked ATP: 363. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 586.

Recent performances by Dalla Valle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arnaboldi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arnaboldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dalla Valle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrico Dalla Valle
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Nikita Belozertsev	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Flavio Bocci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
28.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Filiberto Fumagalli	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

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