Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saint-Gaudens, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Erika Andreeva		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.94
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	1.86 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erika Andreeva
50.2%

Jessika Ponchet
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erika Andreeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erika Andreeva's form might have worsened.

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessika Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erika Andreeva than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Erika Andreeva - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreeva is ranked WTA: 306. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 180.

Andreeva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ponchet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Andreeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andreeva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Erika Andreeva - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erika Andreeva
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Erika Andreeva	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Erika Andreeva - Jeline Vandromme	Andreeva E. Retired ✺
29.04.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Erika Andreeva	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Jeline Vandromme - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Erika Andreeva - Barbora Palicova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 W?WLW
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Clara Burel - Jessika Ponchet	Burel C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Jessika Ponchet - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Jessika Ponchet - Viktorija Golubic	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Jessika Ponchet - Fiona Ferro	Ferro F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?LWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.07.22	Jessika Ponchet - Erika Andreeva	2:1

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