Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Facundo Mena		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.30	3.22	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.78)	2.63 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
64.6%

Guido Ivan Justo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Mena's performance.

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guido Ivan Justo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Mena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guido Ivan Justo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Facundo Mena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 220., and Justo is ranked ATP: 233..

Mena is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Justo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Justo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mena in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mena has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Facundo Mena - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Facundo Mena - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Facundo Mena - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WWWWW
- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0
06.06.24	Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0

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