Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Filip Peliwo		Sam Ryan Ziegann

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.52	2.35
	1.59	2.46
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Peliwo
60.7%

Sam Ryan Ziegann
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sam Ryan Ziegann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Peliwo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sam Ryan Ziegann than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sam Ryan Ziegann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Filip Peliwo - Sam Ryan Ziegann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peliwo is ranked ATP: 560. Ryan Ziegann is ranked ATP: 820.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ryan Ziegann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Peliwo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peliwo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Filip Peliwo - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.2%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Filip Peliwo - Arjun Rathi	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Filip Peliwo - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Grigoriy Lomakin - Filip Peliwo	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Omar Jasika - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWL
- Sam Ryan Ziegann
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Thantub Suksumrarn - Sam Ryan Ziegann	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Yuta Kawahashi - Sam Ryan Ziegann	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Christopher Papa - Sam Ryan Ziegann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Filip Peliwo	1:2

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