Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsaghkadzor, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Gabriele Bosio		Alexandr Binda

	1	2
	2.35	1.52
	2.41	1.58
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gabriele Bosio
39.5%

Alexandr Binda
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Bosio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Bosio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Bosio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandr Binda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriele Bosio - Alexandr Binda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Bosio is ranked ATP: 828. Binda is ranked ATP: 449.

Bosio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Binda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Binda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Binda might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandr Binda - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Bosio
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Gabriele Bosio - Ivan Iutkin	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Gabriele Bosio - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Bor Artnak - Gabriele Bosio	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Gabriele Bosio	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Tilen Kovac - Gabriele Bosio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Alexandr Binda
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Kacper Szymkowiak - Alexandr Binda	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Mariano Tammaro - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Lorusso - Alexandr Binda	Lorusso L. Retired ✺
21.05.26	Alexandr Binda - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Alexandr Binda - Jack McGary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?LW

Upcoming Matches