Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Gianmarco Ferrari		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianmarco Ferrari
40%

Tommaso Compagnucci
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Gianmarco Ferrari - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferrari is ranked ATP: 484. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 397.

Ferrari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Compagnucci has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Compagnucci might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Gianmarco Ferrari - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Edoardo Zanada - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Mika Petkovic - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mariano Tammaro - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Gianmarco Ferrari	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLL?
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Matteo Mura - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.04.24	Tommaso Compagnucci - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2
17.06.22	Tommaso Compagnucci - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2

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