Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Hanna Chang		Hikaru Sato

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Hanna Chang
56.8%

Hikaru Sato
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hikaru Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Chang is ranked WTA: 405. Sato is ranked WTA: 681.

Chang has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chang is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
06.04.26	Ayano Shimizu - Hanna Chang	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Thea Frodin - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Kylie Collins - Hanna Chang	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Amy Zhu - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Hikaru Sato	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Hikaru Sato - Ya-Hsuan Lee	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Hiromi Abe - Hikaru Sato	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Hikaru Sato - Honoka Kobayashi	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Elena Micic - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Hikaru Sato - Hanna Chang	0:2

Hanna Chang - Hikaru Sato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide