Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Astana 5, hard - Final

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Haruna Arakawa		Asylzhan Arystanbekova

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.39	1.48
	2.62	1.5
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruna Arakawa
37.4%

Asylzhan Arystanbekova
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Asylzhan Arystanbekova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asylzhan Arystanbekova than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asylzhan Arystanbekova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Arakawa is ranked WTA: 723. Arystanbekova is ranked WTA: 905.

Arakawa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arystanbekova is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arakawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arystanbekova might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Arystanbekova will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Haruna Arakawa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Haruna Arakawa - Ha Eum Lee	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Zeel Desai - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Nina Sozaonova - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Haruna Arakawa - Anna Bazderova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Irem Kurt - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Asylzhan Arystanbekova - Anna Pushkareva	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Mariia Tkacheva - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Yuka Hosoki - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Su Jeong Jang - Asylzhan Arystanbekova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWW

Haruna Arakawa - Asylzhan Arystanbekova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide